Arizona Governor Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Hobbs (Democrat)51%
Biggs (Republican)34%
Highground Public Affairs*, fielded 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08
Cook rating 2026-10-13 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=400 / Not reported by source. RealClearPolling
Lead of 17 pts for Hobbs in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Lean D
- DDHQ rating
- Lean D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 73%
- Currently held by
- D
Candidates
- Katie HobbsDemocrat
- Andy BiggsRepublican
Poll history (12)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Highground Public Affairs* | 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08 | Hobbs (Democrat) 51%Biggs (Republican) 34% | n=400 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Arizona State* | 2026-08-18 to 2026-09-04 | Hobbs (Democrat) 47%Biggs (Republican) 34% | n=1,300 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Highground Public Affairs* | 2026-08-15 to 2026-08-18 | Hobbs (Democrat) 50%Biggs (Republican) 34% | n=400 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-08-11 to 2026-08-18 | Hobbs (Democrat) 39%Biggs (Republican) 37% | n=948 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-08-14 to 2026-08-17 | Hobbs (Democrat) 49%Biggs (Republican) 43% | n=780 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights* | 2026-08-10 to 2026-08-13 | Hobbs (Democrat) 48%Biggs (Republican) 35% | n=923 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | 2026-07-26 to 2026-07-28 | Hobbs (Democrat) 52%Biggs (Republican) 44% | n=913 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-05-12 to 2026-05-16 | Hobbs (Democrat) 40%Biggs (Republican) 38% | n=1,026 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights* | 2026-05-05 to 2026-05-07 | Hobbs (Democrat) 41%Biggs (Republican) 37% | n=996 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| TIPP** | 2026-04-20 to 2026-04-24 | Hobbs (Democrat) 48%Biggs (Republican) 38% | n=1,159 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-02-23 to 2026-02-26 | Hobbs (Democrat) 42%Biggs (Republican) 37% | n=1,023 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-02-11 to 2026-02-13 | Hobbs (Democrat) 40%Biggs (Republican) 38% | n=1,006 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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