Nevada Governor Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Lombardo (Republican)40%
Ford (Democrat)37%
Noble Predictive Insights, fielded 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13
Cook rating 2026-10-13 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=766 / Not reported by source. RealClearPolling
Lead of 3 pts for Lombardo in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Toss Up
- DDHQ rating
- Toss Up
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 51%
- Currently held by
- R
Candidates
- Aaron FordDemocrat
- Joe LombardoRepublican
Poll history (4)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13 | Lombardo (Republican) 40%Ford (Democrat) 37% | n=766 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-26 | Lombardo (Republican) 42%Ford (Democrat) 40% | n=708 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Emerson | 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-08 | Ford (Democrat) 44%Lombardo (Republican) 42% | n=680 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-03-10 to 2026-03-13 | Lombardo (Republican) 39%Ford (Democrat) 38% | n=845 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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