Illinois Senate Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Juliana Stratton (Democrat)58.5%
Don Tracy (Republican)41.5%

ActiVote, fielded 2026-09-26 to 2026-10-20

Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=400 / Unknown. Poliwave

Lead of 17 pts for Juliana Stratton in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid D
DDHQ rating
Safe D
DDHQ Dem win chance
96%
Currently held by
D

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Juliana StrattonDemocrat
  • Don TracyRepublican

Seat / incumbent: OPEN (Durbin)

Poll history (2)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
ActiVote2026-09-26 to 2026-10-20Juliana Stratton (Democrat) 58.5%Don Tracy (Republican) 41.5%n=400 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
Public Policy Polling (D)2026-09-30 to 2026-10-01Juliana Stratton (Democrat) 49%Don Tracy (Republican) 36%n=569 / UnknownPoliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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D
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