Louisiana Senate Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Julia Letlow (Republican)48%
Jamie Davis (Democrat)44%

Hart Research (D), fielded 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-19Stale

Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=500 / Hart Research Associates poll commissioned by the Jamie Davis (D) campaign; reported by KPLC/Fox 8.. Poliwave

Lead of 4 pts for Julia Letlow in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid R
DDHQ rating
Likely R
DDHQ Dem win chance
11%
Currently held by
R

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Jamie DavisDemocrat
  • Julia LetlowRepublican

Seat / incumbent: OPEN (Cassidy)

Poll history (2)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
Hart Research (D)2026-09-17 to 2026-09-19Julia Letlow (Republican) 48%Jamie Davis (Democrat) 44%n=500 / Hart Research Associates poll commissioned by the Jamie Davis (D) campaign; reported by KPLC/Fox 8.Poliwave Original release
Public Policy Polling (D)2026-07-21 to 2026-07-22Julia Letlow (Republican) 41%Jamie Davis (Democrat) 37%n=518 / Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by the Jamie Davis (D) campaign; 33% landline, 67% text-to-web; initial ballot before candidate information. Reported by The Bayou Progressive (no MoE released).Poliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

No other Louisiana races in this snapshot.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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