Nebraska Senate Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Pete Ricketts (Republican)49%
Dan Osborn (Independent)46%
National Public Affairs, fielded 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05
Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=800 / Unknown. Poliwave
Lead of 3 pts for Pete Ricketts in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Likely R
- DDHQ rating
- Likely R
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 21%
- Currently held by
- R
Independent Dan Osborn challenge
Candidates
- Dan OsbornIndependent
- Pete RickettsRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Ricketts
Poll history (8)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 49%Dan Osborn (Independent) 46% | n=800 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| YouGov | 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-03 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 48%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47% | n=1,809 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| co/efficient (R) | 2026-09-28 to 2026-09-30 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 43% | n=1,113 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| SurveyUSA/Grant Forbes LLC | 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-13 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 46%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 42% | n=503 / SurveyUSA mixed-mode blended sample (web panel, SMS-to-web, and landline IVR); 503 Nebraska statewide likely voters. | Poliwave Original release |
| GBAO (D) | 2026-09-03 to 2026-09-08 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 46% | n=800 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| Impact Research (D) | 2026-08-09 to 2026-08-13 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47% | n=600 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| Tavern Research (D) | 2026-05-08 to 2026-05-11 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 42% | n=1,165 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| Impact Research (D) | 2026-02-02 to 2026-02-05 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 47% | n=600 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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