Nebraska Senate Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Pete Ricketts (Republican)49%
Dan Osborn (Independent)46%

National Public Affairs, fielded 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05

Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=800 / Unknown. Poliwave

Lead of 3 pts for Pete Ricketts in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Likely R
DDHQ rating
Likely R
DDHQ Dem win chance
21%
Currently held by
R

Independent Dan Osborn challenge

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Dan OsbornIndependent
  • Pete RickettsRepublican

Seat / incumbent: Ricketts

Poll history (8)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
National Public Affairs2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05Pete Ricketts (Republican) 49%Dan Osborn (Independent) 46%n=800 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
YouGov2026-09-24 to 2026-10-03Dan Osborn (Independent) 48%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47%n=1,809 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
co/efficient (R)2026-09-28 to 2026-09-30Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 43%n=1,113 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
SurveyUSA/Grant Forbes LLC2026-09-08 to 2026-09-13Dan Osborn (Independent) 46%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 42%n=503 / SurveyUSA mixed-mode blended sample (web panel, SMS-to-web, and landline IVR); 503 Nebraska statewide likely voters.Poliwave Original release
GBAO (D)2026-09-03 to 2026-09-08Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 46%n=800 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
Impact Research (D)2026-08-09 to 2026-08-13Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47%n=600 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
Tavern Research (D)2026-05-08 to 2026-05-11Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 42%n=1,165 / UnknownPoliwave Original release
Impact Research (D)2026-02-02 to 2026-02-05Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%n=600 / UnknownPoliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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