Oklahoma Senate Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Kevin Hern (Republican)49%
N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas (Democrat)25%

CHS & Associates, fielded 2026-08-03 to 2026-08-06Stale

Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=500 / Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates Sooner Survey (Vol. 37 No. 11, Aug 20, 2026); other candidates combined 8%, undecided not printed. Field dates and sample size are not printed in the release; taken from the discovery index (Wikipedia) and should be confirmed.. Poliwave

Lead of 24 pts for Kevin Hern in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid R
DDHQ rating
Safe R
DDHQ Dem win chance
2%
Currently held by
R

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • N'Kiyla Jasmine ThomasDemocrat
  • Kevin HernRepublican

Seat / incumbent: OPEN (Mullin)

Poll history (1)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
CHS & Associates2026-08-03 to 2026-08-06Kevin Hern (Republican) 49%N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas (Democrat) 25%n=500 / Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates Sooner Survey (Vol. 37 No. 11, Aug 20, 2026); other candidates combined 8%, undecided not printed. Field dates and sample size are not printed in the release; taken from the discovery index (Wikipedia) and should be confirmed.Poliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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