Tennessee Senate Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Bill Hagerty (Republican)51%
Marquita Bradshaw (Democrat)31%

Targoz Market Research/Beacon Center, fielded 2026-08-15 to 2026-08-26Stale

Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=1,157 / Beacon Poll of Tennessee registered voters by Targoz Market Research (crosstabs released Aug 28, 2026).. Poliwave

Lead of 20 pts for Bill Hagerty in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid R
DDHQ rating
Safe R
DDHQ Dem win chance
3%
Currently held by
R

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Marquita BradshawDemocrat
  • Bill HagertyRepublican

Seat / incumbent: Hagerty

Poll history (1)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
Targoz Market Research/Beacon Center2026-08-15 to 2026-08-26Bill Hagerty (Republican) 51%Marquita Bradshaw (Democrat) 31%n=1,157 / Beacon Poll of Tennessee registered voters by Targoz Market Research (crosstabs released Aug 28, 2026).Poliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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