Virginia Senate Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Mark Warner (Democrat)51%
Bert Mizusawa (Republican)33%
The Public Sentiment Institute, fielded 2026-06-12 to 2026-06-16Stale
Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=996 / Unknown. Poliwave
Lead of 18 pts for Mark Warner in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Solid D
- DDHQ rating
- Safe D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 96%
- Currently held by
- D
Candidates
- Mark WarnerDemocrat
- Bert MizusawaRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Warner
Poll history (2)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-06-12 to 2026-06-16 | Mark Warner (Democrat) 51%Bert Mizusawa (Republican) 33% | n=996 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
| The Public Sentiment Institute/Virginia Project (R) | 2026-05-01 to 2026-05-05 | Mark Warner (Democrat) 54%Bert Mizusawa (Republican) 29% | n=1,047 / Unknown | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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