New Mexico NM-02 House Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Gabe Vasquez (Democrat)46%
Greg Cunningham (Republican)43%
SurveyUSA/KOB, fielded 2026-08-28 to 2026-09-02Stale
Cook rating 2026-10-16 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=554 / SurveyUSA poll for KOB 4 of NM-02 likely voters. Field dates are not printed in the source; taken from the discovery index (Wikipedia).. Poliwave
Lead of 3 pts for Gabe Vasquez in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Lean D
- DDHQ rating
- Likely D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 82%
- Currently held by
- D
Candidates
- Gabe VasquezDemocrat
- Greg CunninghamRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Vasquez (D)
Poll history (1)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA/KOB | 2026-08-28 to 2026-09-02 | Gabe Vasquez (Democrat) 46%Greg Cunningham (Republican) 43% | n=554 / SurveyUSA poll for KOB 4 of NM-02 likely voters. Field dates are not printed in the source; taken from the discovery index (Wikipedia). | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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