New Mexico Senate Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Ben Ray Luján (Democrat)53%
Larry Marker (Republican)38%
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal, fielded 2026-08-21 to 2026-08-28Stale
Cook rating 2026-10-20 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=516 / Albuquerque Journal Poll by Research & Polling Inc.; random sample of 2022/2024 general-election voters plus newly registered likely voters. Undecided not printed.. Poliwave
Lead of 15 pts for Ben Ray Luján in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Solid D
- DDHQ rating
- Safe D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 96%
- Currently held by
- D
Candidates
- Ben Ray LujánDemocrat
- Larry MarkerRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Luján
Poll history (1)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal | 2026-08-21 to 2026-08-28 | Ben Ray Luján (Democrat) 53%Larry Marker (Republican) 38% | n=516 / Albuquerque Journal Poll by Research & Polling Inc.; random sample of 2022/2024 general-election voters plus newly registered likely voters. Undecided not printed. | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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