New York NY-17 House Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Cait Conley (Democrat)48%
Mike Lawler (Republican)46%
Emerson, fielded 2026-09-27 to 2026-09-29
Cook rating 2026-10-16 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=400 / Not reported by source. RealClearPolling
Lead of 2 pts for Cait Conley in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Toss Up
- DDHQ rating
- Toss Up
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 60%
- Currently held by
- R
Candidates
- Cait ConleyDemocrat
- Mike LawlerRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Lawler (R)
Poll history (2)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson | 2026-09-27 to 2026-09-29 | Cait Conley (Democrat) 48%Mike Lawler (Republican) 46% | n=400 / Not reported by source | RealClearPolling Original release |
| Emerson College | 2026-09-27 to 2026-09-29 | Cait Conley (Democrat) 48%Mike Lawler (Republican) 46% | n=400 / Emerson College Polling/PIX11 News survey of NY-17 likely voters. | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
More New York races
See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.
Open the polling map All races