New York NY-21 House Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Anthony Constantino (Republican)50%
Blake Gendebien (Democrat)40%
J.L. Partners, fielded 2026-08-15 to 2026-08-17Stale
Cook rating 2026-10-16 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=500 / J.L. Partners district-wide sample of NY-21 likely general-election voters; 150 live call, 350 SMS-to-web.. Poliwave
Lead of 10 pts for Anthony Constantino in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Lean R
- DDHQ rating
- Likely R
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 16%
- Currently held by
- R
Candidates
- Blake GendebienDemocrat
- Anthony ConstantinoRepublican
Seat / incumbent: OPEN (Stefanik, R)
Poll history (1)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.L. Partners | 2026-08-15 to 2026-08-17 | Anthony Constantino (Republican) 50%Blake Gendebien (Democrat) 40% | n=500 / J.L. Partners district-wide sample of NY-21 likely general-election voters; 150 live call, 350 SMS-to-web. | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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