Florida FL-14 House Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.
Latest poll
Kathy Castor (Democrat)46.2%
Mike Beltran (Republican)37.5%
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com, fielded 2026-07-14 to 2026-07-15Stale
Cook rating 2026-10-16 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.
n=469 / St. Pete Polls survey of FL-14 likely voters for FloridaPolitics.com; automated phone and text. Matchup with the eventual Republican nominee stored (the release also tested Kevin Steele).. Poliwave
Lead of 8.7 pts for Kathy Castor in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Toss Up
- DDHQ rating
- Lean D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 66%
- Currently held by
- D
Candidates
- Kathy CastorDemocrat
- Mike BeltranRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Castor (D)
Poll history (1)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | 2026-07-14 to 2026-07-15 | Kathy Castor (Democrat) 46.2%Mike Beltran (Republican) 37.5% | n=469 / St. Pete Polls survey of FL-14 likely voters for FloridaPolitics.com; automated phone and text. Matchup with the eventual Republican nominee stored (the release also tested Kevin Steele). | Poliwave Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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