Texas TX-28 House Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Henry Cuellar (Democrat)45%
Tano Tijerina (Republican)34%

Texas Southern University, fielded 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-22Stale

Cook rating 2026-10-16 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=600 / Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (Texas Southern University); SMS-to-web surveys of likely voters in TX-15 (700), TX-28 (600) and TX-34 (700), English and Spanish.. Poliwave

Lead of 11 pts for Henry Cuellar in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Lean D
DDHQ rating
Likely D
DDHQ Dem win chance
91%
Currently held by
D

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Henry CuellarDemocrat
  • Tano TijerinaRepublican

Seat / incumbent: Cuellar (D)

Poll history (1)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
Texas Southern University2026-08-18 to 2026-08-22Henry Cuellar (Democrat) 45%Tano Tijerina (Republican) 34%n=600 / Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (Texas Southern University); SMS-to-web surveys of likely voters in TX-15 (700), TX-28 (600) and TX-34 (700), English and Spanish.Poliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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D
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