Texas TX-34 House Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-10-22.

Latest poll

Vicente Gonzalez (Democrat)45%
Eric Flores (Republican)42%

Texas Southern University, fielded 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-22Stale

Cook rating 2026-10-16 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-22. Win chance, not vote share.

n=700 / Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (Texas Southern University); SMS-to-web surveys of likely voters in TX-15 (700), TX-28 (600) and TX-34 (700), English and Spanish.. Poliwave

Lead of 3 pts for Vicente Gonzalez in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Toss Up
DDHQ rating
Lean D
DDHQ Dem win chance
73%
Currently held by
D

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Vicente GonzalezDemocrat
  • Eric FloresRepublican

Seat / incumbent: Gonzalez (D)

Poll history (1)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
Texas Southern University2026-08-18 to 2026-08-22Vicente Gonzalez (Democrat) 45%Eric Flores (Republican) 42%n=700 / Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (Texas Southern University); SMS-to-web surveys of likely voters in TX-15 (700), TX-28 (600) and TX-34 (700), English and Spanish.Poliwave Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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D
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